COVID-19: Human development on course to decline this year for the first time since 1990

May 21, 2020

Starting 21 May 2020, the Kyrgyz authorities have weakened quarantine measures for some enterprises as part of the Government’s plan to gradually resume economic activity in the country. However, public health concerns and risks remain. After all, Kyrgyzstan, like the whole world, has already begun to feel the negative impact of coronavirus infection on the economy

As reported by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Global human development – which can be measured as a combination of the world’s education, health and living standards – could decline this year for the first time since the concept was introduced in 1990.

“The world has seen many crises over the past 30 years, including the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09. Each has hit human development hard but, overall, development gains accrued globally year-on-year. COVID-19 – with its triple hit to health, education, and income – may change this trend.”

said UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner.

Starting 21 May 2020, the Kyrgyz authorities have weakened quarantine measures for some enterprises as part of the Government’s plan to gradually resume economic activity in the country. However, public health concerns and risks remain. After all, Kyrgyzstan, like the whole world, has already begun to feel the negative impact of coronavirus infection on the economy

As reported by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Global human development – which can be measured as a combination of the world’s education, health and living standards – could decline this year for the first time since the concept was introduced in 1990.

“The world has seen many crises over the past 30 years, including the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09. Each has hit human development hard but, overall, development gains accrued globally year-on-year. COVID-19 – with its triple hit to health, education, and income – may change this trend.”

said UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner.

Declines in fundamental areas of human development are being felt across most countries - rich and poor - in every region.

COVID-19’s global death toll has exceeded 300,000 people, while the global per capita income this year is expected to fall by four per cent.

With school closures, UNDP estimates of the “effective out-of-school rate”—the percentage of primary school-age children, adjusted to reflect those without Internet access—indicate that 60 per cent of children are not getting an education, leading to global levels not seen since the 1980s.

The combined impact of these shocks could signify the largest reversal in human development on record.

This is not counting other significant effects, for instance, in the progress towards gender equality. The negative impacts on women and girls span economic - earning and saving less and greater job insecurity -, reproductive health, unpaid care work and gender-based violence. In Kyrgyzstan during the quarantine, the number of cases of domestic violence increased by 65%.  Compared to the same period from March 24 to April 24, 2019, in Bishkek 100 facts were registered, this year 162 facts. This message was channeled to the Commandant of Bishkek, Members of Parliament and Ministry of social development of KR. With the support of the Spotlight Initiative, temporary short-term safe spaces are arranged for women and girls subjected to violence. In addition, technical support is provided to the Government to finalize the guide and instructions of an algorithm for a multi-sectoral response to GBV (health, social services, law, police, justice, and humanitarian settings), Emergency GBV mobile groups will be created to support women.

COVID-19: a magnifying glass for inequalities

The drop in human development is expected to be much higher in developing countries that are less able to cope with the pandemic’s social and economic fallout than richer nations.

In education, with schools closed and stark divides in access to online learning, UNDP estimates show that 86 percent of children in primary education are now effectively out-of-school in countries with low human development—compared with just 20 percent in countries with very high human development.

But with more equitable Internet access, - where countries close the gap with leaders in their development group, something feasible – the current gaps in education could close. In digital terms, Kyrgyzstan has 122.6 mobile connections and 5.6 fixed broadband connections per 100 people, which allows you to work and study online. However, many families of Kyrgyzstan, especially in rural areas, came across with the technical problem of having no modern telephones with Internet access, computers and TVs for joining the distance education. Not all families were prepared for this state of things. Local activists were looking for opportunities to help vulnerable families: they brought TVs, helped with the development of technical skills.

Determined, equity-focused interventions can help economies and societies rally, mitigating the far-reaching impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“This crisis shows that if we fail to bring equity into the policy toolkit, many will fall further behind. This is particularly important for the ‘new necessities’ of the 21st century, such as access to the Internet, which is helping us to benefit from tele-education, tele-medicine, and to work from home,”

says Pedro Conceição, Director of the Human Development Report Office at UNDP.

Implementing equity-focused approaches would be affordable. For instance, closing the gap in access to the Internet for low- and middle-income countries is estimated to cost just one per cent of the extraordinary fiscal support packages the world has so far committed to respond to COVID-19.

The importance of equity is emphasized in the United Nations’ framework for the immediate socio-economic response to COVID-19 crisis, which sets out a green, gender-equal, good governance baseline from which to build a ‘new normal”. It recommends five priority steps to tackle the complexity of this crisis: protecting health systems and services; ramping up social protection; protecting jobs, small- and medium-sized businesses and informal sector workers; making macroeconomic policies work for everyone; and promoting peace, good governance and trust to build social cohesion. UNDP calls on the international community to rapidly invest in the ability of developing countries to follow these steps.

Link to “Human Development Perspectives COVID-19: Assessing the impact, envisioning the recovery” : http://hdr.undp.org/en/hdp-covid