Regional Policy Brief: Mapping and analysis of climate-related security risks in the second round of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and National Adaptations Plans (NAPs) in Europe and Central Asia

Regional Policy Brief: Mapping and analysis of climate-related security risks in the second round of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and National Adaptations Plans (NAPs) in Europe and Central Asia
April 23, 2025
The Regional Policy Brief examines how climate change impacts, from recurring droughts to accelerated ecosystem loss and land degradation, threatens peace and security across Europe and Central Asia by reviewing key national climate documents including NDCs, NAPs, and National Communications.
It highlights how climate change impacts can undermine social cohesion and heighten socio-economic instability. By combining a climate risk scan with a fragility scan, the brief shows where countries and territories are most exposed for climate related security risks.
It calls for stronger integration of climate, peace, and security into future climate strategies—urging stakeholders to undertake climate related security risk assessments and align climate action with measures that reinforce social cohesion, protect livelihoods, and ensure lasting stability.