Rapid Socioeconomic Assessment of Ebola Outbreak in the DRC

Photograph: healthcare worker in hazmat suit outdoors; UNDP/UN logos; Ebola in DRC.

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Rapid Socioeconomic Assessment of Ebola Outbreak in the DRC

June 30, 2026

This report assesses the macroeconomic consequences of the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and its potential spillover effects across Africa. Using a multi-country Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, it simulates three progressively complex scenarios: a contained outbreak affecting the DRC and Uganda, wider regional economic spillovers, and a broader polycrisis combining the outbreak with global geopolitical shocks. The analysis quantifies impacts on growth, employment, trade, investment, and public finances, providing evidence on how health emergencies can trigger far-reaching economic disruption and offering policymakers insights to strengthen preparedness, resilience, and coordinated regional response.