By Dr. Lily Murei, Policy Research and Data Specialist, UNDP Resilience Hub for Africa & David Mueller, Regional Specialist, Private Finance for the SDGs, UNDP Africa Sustainable Finance Hub
From Fragility to Fortune: Why Africa’s Borderlands Must Be at the Heart of Development Investment
September 26, 2025
A GROUP OF HERDERS WITH THEIR CATTLE IN NAKILORO VILLAGE, MOROTO DISTRICT.
Stand on the border of West Pokot in Kenya and Karamoja in Uganda, and you will see Africa’s paradox in sharp relief. On one side, pastoralists move cattle through arid plains, their livelihoods hanging by a thread. On the other hand, traders haggle over goats and hides destined for distant markets. Both sides are teeming with life, trade, and resilience—yet these same borderlands remain some of the most marginalized, underdeveloped, and forgotten regions on the continent.
Africa’s borderlands are home to 270 million people, nearly one in five Africans. And yet, they remain systematically excluded from national investments. In West Pokot, 85.2% of households lack access to electricity, one of the lowest electrification rates in Kenya (Kenya National Bureau of Statistics [KNBS], 2025). In Karamoja, only about 3% of the population has access to electricity (FEWS NET, 2016). Poverty rates in borderlands are typically 20–30% higher than national averages (World Bank, 2020), and food insecurity is chronic. Maybe these numbers should spark concern. But they should also spark opportunity. Because what many see as Africa’s peripheries, borderlands communities see as its next frontiers of growth. Unlocking this potential is not just a moral imperative—it is an economic opportunity and a critical pathway toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the African Union’s Agenda 2063.
Borderlands: Africa’s Untapped Markets
Borderlands are economic corridors, cultural melting pots, and trade hubs that fuel entire national economies. For instance, the livestock sector in Kenya contributes 12% of GDP and 42% of agricultural GDP (International Livestock Research Institute [ILRI], 2024). In Karamoja alone, annual livestock sales exceed USD 175 million (IGAD, 2023). Yet most of this trade remains informal, underfinanced, and undervalued. Or consider honey, aloe, and leather. The global honey market is growing at 6% annually (Food and Agriculture Organization [FAO], 2023). The global aloe vera market is projected to reach USD 1.33 billion by 2031 (Allied Market Research, 2023). East Africa produces over 1.3 billion hides and skins annually, enough to sustain a USD 4 billion regional leather industry (LIN East Africa, 2024; African Development Bank [AfDB], 2023). These are not marginal activities; they are billion-dollar opportunities waiting for structured investment.
The Investment Blind Spot
And yet, borderlands remain a blind spot for investors and policymakers. Why? Because they are seen as too risky. Infrastructure is poor, regulation uneven, and insecurity high. But risk, in investment terms, is another word for untapped return. The World Bank (2020) has argued that if properly integrated into regional economies, borderlands could unlock prosperity for millions. The AfDB (2023) has echoed this, investing heavily in cross-border resilience programs through the Horn of Africa Initiative, alongside IGAD and the EU. But borderlands stakeholders have been far too slow. Capital flows remain concentrated in cities. Rural electrification skips border communities. Cross-border markets are left in the shadows of national planning. If this neglect continues, Africa risks not only leaving 270 million people behind but also missing one of its greatest opportunities for inclusive, sustainable growth.
SDG Investor Map: Unlocking Capital for the Borderlands
Recognizing the strategic importance of borderlands, UNDP is applying the SDG Investor Map, one of its most innovative tools, to cross-border areas to identify investment opportunities that are both commercially viable and aligned with the SDGs. The Kenya–Uganda Borderlands SDG Investor Map is the first of its kind, providing a blueprint for how investment can transform fragile border regions into vibrant economic hubs. The Kenya–Uganda market intelligence highlights dairy processing, honey production, solar energy, cross-border finance, and hides-and-skins processing as investment opportunities. These are areas that can deliver returns to investors and transform livelihoods. They bridge the gap between international ambitions and local needs, and highlight where private capital can address food security, clean energy, decent work, and resilient livelihoods. In borderlands, the stakes are even higher: turning fragility into fortune, and peripheries into prosperous corridors.
The Borderlands SDG Investor Map is more than a research exercise; it is a roadmap for action. It informs investment decisions, supports deal origination, and helps build viable pipelines. While many of the identified business models are market-ready, the Kenya-Uganda Borderlands SDG Investor Map also highlights emerging opportunities, where additional public sector attention is needed to enable private sector impact.
With Africa facing an annual infrastructure financing gap of USD 100 billion (AfDB, 2023), mobilizing private capital is critical. Scaling this model beyond Kenya and Uganda could bring sustainable investment to regions where up to 70% of people live below the poverty line (World Bank, 2020). This represents not only a development impact but also long-term market creation for investors willing to engage early. At a time when international aid budgets are shrinking, mobilizing private capital for sustainable, inclusive investment is more urgent than ever. In borderlands, the stakes are even higher: turning fragility into fortune, and peripheries into prosperous corridors.
The power of Partnerships
No single actor can transform the borderlands alone. Multilateral, bilateral development partners, including UNDP, already play crucial roles in peacebuilding, market development, and resilience building. Regional blocs and economic communities such as the East Africa Community (EAC) and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) offer frameworks for reducing trade barriers and expanding markets. By combining private sector innovations with development partners' resources and government policy, multistakeholder partnerships can unlock the true potential of Africa's borderland regions.
Reframing Borderlands: From Margins to Engines of Growth
Africa’s borderlands are too often seen only through the lens of fragility. Yet they are also spaces of resilience, opportunity, and innovation. By directing investment into agriculture, energy, finance, and new value chains, borderlands can shift from margins of neglect to engines of inclusive growth. Transforming such sectors in borderlands could deliver ripple effects across national and regional economies.
Borderlands SDG Investor Maps do not change lives, but markets do. The challenge now is not to produce more data, it is to turn the available information into markets and opportunities into outcomes. Africa’s borderlands cannot remain invisible. They cannot remain in the last mile of policy and the first mile of crisis. They must be seen for what they are: the beating heart of Africa’s integration, resilience, and future prosperity. We must ensure that no one, not even those living at the margins, is left behind. The question is not whether we can afford to invest in borderlands. It is whether we can afford not to.
Find the Kenya-Uganda Borderlands SDG Investor Map here