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Issues Paper No. 1
The HIV Epidemic and Development:
The Unfolding of the Epidemic
by Elizabeth Reid
TABLE
OF CONTENTS
THE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATIONS OF THE
HIV EPIDEMIC
THE EPICENTRE: THE SPREAD OF THE
VIRUS
THE WAVES OF CONSEQUENCES
THE CHALLENGES OF THE HIV EPIDEMIC
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
THE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATIONS OF
THE HIV EPIDEMIC
The HIV epidemic will pose
an unprecedented challenge to communities, nations and to
the international community: a challenge to human
survival, human rights and human development. It is
difficult to visualize the devastating effect of the HIV
epidemic within our lifetimes and beyond.
The consequences of the
spread of the virus will be inexorable and awesome. The
challenge facing national and international communities
is to act speedily and effectively to limit the further
spread of the epidemic and to minimize its impact.
The impact of the HIV
epidemic in developing countries must be understood in
the context of the critical social and economic problems
already experienced by these countries: poverty, famine
and food shortage, inadequate sanitation and health care,
the subordination of women and adjustment policies that
allocate insufficient resources to the social sectors.
These factors create a
particular vulnerability to the devastating consequences
of the epidemic. Economic need and dependency lead to
activities that magnify the risk of HIV transmission and
mean that many people, particularly women, are powerless
to protect themselves against infection. Inequitable
power structures, a lack of legal protection and
inadequate standards of health and nutrition all further
exacerbate the spread of the virus, accelerate
progression from HIV infection to AIDS, and aggravate the
plight of those affected by the epidemic.
The setting of the HIV
epidemic in developing countries creates a downward
spiral whereby existing social, economic and human
deprivation produces a particularly fertile environment
for the spread of HIV and, in turn, the HIV epidemic
compounds and intensifies the deprivation already
experienced by people in those countries. Not only must
the epidemic itself be directly addressed in programmes
of assistance but its consequences will impact upon all
existing development initiatives which themselves will
need to be reformulated in order to encompass these new
situations.
The important lessons
learned from the first ten years of responding to the
epidemic are that behaviour change to stop the
transmission of HIV can and does occur but that it needs
the support of community and an enabling and supportive
legal environment. Behaviour change is a process which
must essentially involve changes in community and sexual
norms and values, the availability of voluntary and
confidential counseling and testing services and the
creation of an environment which creates the possibility
of open and honest discussion of sexuality and dying.
We have also learned that
for sustainable behaviour change to occur, there has to
be a belief in the future, or at least a reason for hope.
This, we have found, comes about when communities and
individuals become involved in the care of those living
with HIV. We know this care leads to compassion and
caring, rich and valuable human attributes which are at
the centre not only of the response to the epidemic but
of human development itself. The coping strategies of
communities must be central to national responses.
For there to be a future
in the face of this terrifying epidemic, the
infrastructure required by communities must continue to
function. As we respond to the immediate needs of
behaviour change and the care and support of those
infected and affected, the need to maintain the physical,
social and economic infrastructure of communities and
nations must not be overlooked. The impact of the
epidemic begins to affect this infrastructure when
increasing numbers of people sicken and die.
The challenges posed by
the epidemic to human well-being and development are so
immense that collaborative and complementary action is
essential for our assistance to be timely and effective.
Our efforts must also be sustainable. Effective responses
to the epidemic will be needed for many years to come and
we must recognize this in the care with which we develop
and coordinate our efforts.
Coordination occurs when
there is mutual respect, a common vision, the exchange of
experience and a shared sense that the policies and
programmes established are effective and sustainable.
THE EPICENTRE: THE SPREAD OF THE
VIRUS
The analysis presented
here places people and their communities at the centre of
the exploration of the repercussions of the spread of the
virus. At the epicentre (Figure 1) of the inexorable chain of
consequences is the transmission of the virus from person
to person, from adult to child. We are still struggling
to understand the factors which determine to where and
how fast the virus spreads and who gets infected. An
improved understanding of these factors will enable us to
better understand how the virus moves from place to
place, person to person, day to day so that we can more
effectively limit its spread and anticipate its
repercussions.
Inequalities of Wealth,
Power and Autonomy
The first factor is
inequalities of wealth, power and autonomy. The greater
the disparity, the more stratified a society, the faster
and further the virus spreads. Both the rich and the poor
are likely to have higher infection rates.
The rich, like the
powerful, are more mobile, less constrained by community
norms and can afford the lifestyles they choose, which
often place them at risk of infection. The poor and the
powerless alike are less able to make choices about their
life circumstances, more often forced into work away from
home and family, or commercial sex work. Their health and
nutritional levels are low and they cannot afford to use
health services.
Attitudes to Women
These inequalities and
stratifications are linked to the second determining
factor, namely that of attitudes towards women which are
demeaning or which deny women value and dignity. The
indicators of these attitudes will include levels of
domestic violence, physical and sexual abuse, abortion
laws and practices, and whether women are listened to
when they speak. For example, one study of couples who
describe themselves as true equals shows that, whereas 97
per cent of conversations initiated by the husband
succeeded, only 30 per cent of those begun by the women
were continued.
Cultural prescriptions,
myths and jokes all embody these attitudes to women,
along with the popular and serious literature of
communities and nations. Where women are denied dignity
and respect, the virus spreads.
The type of attitudes that
lead to the spread of the virus may co-exist with a quite
high status for women in terms of access to education,
training and employment.
Community Norms and
Values
The third determining
factor is community norms and values. Communities where
the social construction of gender leads to quite
different paradigms of masculinity and femininity have
higher infection levels. Similarly, communities and
families which tolerate or encourage male sexual
behaviour patterns that separate sexual satisfaction from
responsibility to others and which value passivity and
self-effacement in women will be disproportionately
highly infected.
Pathology and
Immaturity of the Genital Area
The fourth determining
factor of the speed and extent of spread is the pathology
and immaturity of the genital area. When unprotected,
penetrative intercourse takes place, the virus is much
more likely to be transmitted if there are lesions,
secretions, inflammation or scarification of the genital
area. The existence of these conditions is related to
hygiene practices, nutritional status, access to
sensitive health services, cultural practices and
reproductive practices. In women, transmission may also
occur more easily at different stages in the hormonal
cycle or if the genital area has not reached maturity,
which does not usually occur until young women are in
their twenties.
This factor is clearly
implicated in the high infection rates in young women and
probably in infection rates in uncircumcised men, and
contributes significantly to the different rates of
infections between developed and developing countries.
Mobility
The fifth determining
factor is mobility. The patterns of spread of the virus
follow the movement patterns of people: the
criss-crossing of armies across countries, the transport
routes, the commercially vigorous trading centres, job
markets, seasonal flows for agriculture or for ceremony.
Mobile groups of people -
senior civil servants, parliamentarians, teachers,
students, migrant workers, pilots, truck drivers, the
military and so on - have higher infection rates than
others.
People Telling Their
Stories
The final factor which
determines the speed and extent of the spread of the
virus and who gets infected is whether conditions exist
for people to tell their stories, stories of being
infected and stories of changing their behaviour to
prevent themselves from becoming infected.
For this to happen, there
must be a strong legal and ethical framework which will
lessen the almost inevitable discrimination and stigma
surrounding HIV infection. There must be community and
family support systems. There must be supportive
government policies relating to continuation in
employment, in school, etc. Finally, there must be the
courageous people to tell their stories, for the cost to
the individuals and their families of speaking out is
usually very high.
If we bear in mind these
determining characteristics, we can now put some faces to
the estimated 12 million adults already infected in the
world today. We now know that soon there will be as many,
or more, women infected as men. Many, perhaps most, will
be couples, husbands and wives. Many, of not most, will
be poor. Although there will be a not insignificant
number of the infected among the rich and powerful, many
will be in situations that take them away from their
families and communities and most will come from
communities which accept and even value the behaviour
which puts men, women and their families at risk of
sexual transmission. We can now begin to see our own
faces amongst those 12 million.
THE WAVES OF CONSEQUENCES
The consequences of this
spread radiate out over time and will continue to spread.
Over time, various types of repercussions are becoming
apparent. Their extent and nature are determined by many
factors but there is a small number of dominant ones. The
first wave of consequences follows directly from the
spread of the virus: Those who are infected will, in
time, start falling ill and dying.
The second wave of
consequences arises from two dominant characteristics of
the epidemic:
- those who are
infected are overwhelmingly at a stage in their
lives when they have the maximum number of
dependents: children, parents, others living with
them, others that they are supporting; and
- the virus is
clustered in households and so their dependents
will be left with few or no means of support.
The third wave of
consequences arises from those other dominant
characteristics of the epidemic:
- those who are
infected are at their most economically
productive and active period in their lives;
- the virus is
clustered occupationally and geographically; and
- the rigidity of the
gender division of labour, skills and
responsibilities.
The extent and nature of
the fourth wave of consequences is determined by two
dominant characteristics:
- the response of
communities and nations to those infected, those
caring for them and those who survive after their
deaths, in particular by whether or not they
remain an integral part of their communities,
supported and cared for by them; and
- the clustering in
certain occupations and geographically.
The personal,
psychological, social and economic consequences of the
spread of the virus will unfold for decades after the
virus has taken hold in a community and will continue to
unfold for as long as the virus continues to spread.
Let us look at the
overlapping waves of consequences more closely.
The first wave of
impact to emerge is centered on the infected person and
her or his family, partners and carers. It includes the
trauma of diagnosis, community reactions (acceptance or
stigma and discrimination), economic and emotional impact
on their households, reaction of health care workers,
illness and death. As indicated in Figure
2, those
primarily affected are individuals and families, and the
ways in which they are affected and the resources that
they and others can bring to bear on their problems
determine the policy and programme requirements.
In developing countries,
most women and men are faced with the probability of
their being infected when a baby or young child is
clinically diagnosed with HIV. The lack of
confidentiality, which is too frequent in these settings,
often leads to the mother being singled out for blame.
Fear and denial on the part of the father can lead to the
woman's rejection and repudiation. The family may be torn
apart and the women and her children left destitute and
homeless. Strict confidentiality and the disclosure of
the child's HIV status with counseling to both parents,
not just the mother, can often protect the women and
enable the family to continue as a basic nurturing and
socializing unit for the children.
The immediate concern of
infected women, and often men, is the future well-being
of their children. Who will look after them after their
deaths? Where the receiving family cannot be the extended
family, many women would like to participate in the
choice of an alternative form of care and help prepare
their children for the future. Already at this stage,
long before the children are left without parents,
attention needs to be given to identifying or
establishing forms of care for these children.
The second area of
immediate concern is that the parents continue to be able
to provide for and nurture their children for as long as
possible. In one Kigali community, the women identified
one nutritious meal a day and the treatment of any
opportunistic infection, oral thrush, for example, which
might impair their ability to look after their children.
As more and more children
and adults fall ill, the demand for the treatment of
opportunistic infection and for anti-virals will increase
as will the demand on hospital beds. Whilst neglect of
these demands may cause political unrest, addressing
these demands may not be possible because of a lack of a
basic health infrastructure and because of resource
constraints. There is thus the need to achieve an
informed and widespread consensus in the community, as
well as in the health sector and among bureaucrats and
politicians, on a treatment strategy.
The formal health care
system will have to rationalise its role as it ceases to
be able to provide institution-based care for all those
with HIV-related illnesses. New modes of care management
and collaborative and complimentary home and
institutional-based care regimes will need to be
designed. The increasing burden of care will be to a
great extent borne by family and friends, but probably
disproportionately by women and girls.
In this latter case,
women's other roles and responsibilities, including child
rearing and their productive roles, will be seriously
affected if the burden of care is added to women's
illness and death. Young girls may be withdrawn from
schools to help care for the sick and for siblings and to
keep the family together as long as possible.
As the burden of illness
increases, household incomes and provisioning will be
directly affected. Those unable to pay rent or repay
mortgages may lose their homes. School fees and food
requirements may become unaffordable. Furthermore, the
use of household savings and assets in the futile search
for a cure can seriously impoverish the family. There
will need to be programmes of assistance to meet the
basic needs for food, shelter, counseling and school fees
in affected households.
The effectiveness of
programmes for affected individuals, families and
communities will ultimately depend on the legal, ethical
and human rights milieu pre-existing or established to
respond to the epidemic. Respect for the rights and
dignity of those affected, guarantees of confidentiality,
anti-discrimination provisions and a policy context of
support and commitment that all affected people remain an
integral part of their communities are sine qua non
conditions for an effective response. Furthermore,
without this legal framework, the affected will not speak
out and tell their stories so that others may learn and
change their behaviour. Such stories are amongst the most
effective motivaters for behaviour change.
Often it is not until
large numbers of the population are infected and many
have progressed to AIDS or associated diseases such as
tuberculosis that there is the possibility of a national
consensus on the urgency of the matter. It is usually
only at this stage that the voices of public health
officials, health workers and the infected and their
families finally begin to be heard.
As more adults die, the second
wave of impact begins to emerge: increasing numbers
of children and the elderly left without support and of
single-headed households (Figure 1). For every adult dead, there
could be on average two to three dependents. Thus the
amplitude of this phase could be two to three times
greater than the mortality rates in the previous phase.
Poverty will also be spreading: households
disintegrating; children scattered.
The most striking feature
of this wave is the psychological impact on individuals
and communities of so many lives lost, so many parents,
siblings, friends, children, colleagues, neighbours dead.
In young children this often induces an almost catatonic
state, a withdrawal from the world of pain and despair.
One story from the Kagera region in Tanzania is of a
young girl sitting day after day at the edge of the yard,
rocking on her heels and staring into space. Both her
parents are dead, brothers and sisters, aunts and uncles.
There is little food but she is not hungry. She rocks,
grieving.
The grandmother takes time
away from her overwhelming burden of care of all her
other grandchildren to come and sit quietly beside the
young girl. She knows she must gently draw her back into
the land of the living or she will slowly die. The little
girl has no will to eat, to go to school, to help out in
the house. Unless programmes find a means of reaching out
to such children, and similarly affected communities,
other assistance programmes will be less than effective.
Grandmothers and
grandfathers are bearing a crippling burden of care
although, as the epidemic deepens, they too are
increasingly numbered among the infected. The extent of
homeless, destitute and traumatised children and elderly
will be largely determined by the extent of caring
environments that can be found or created for them.
Extended family and
neighbourhood forms of care will soon become overwhelmed
unless they, themselves, are supported. A recent study in
Kigali, where the impact of the epidemic in creating
dependent survivors has already become visible, shows
that already one in every two households is caring for
one or more children other than their own.
There are various
different ways to provide assistance to the survivors and
their communities (Figure 2): direct transfer programmes,
subsidies, entitlements, credit and social services
including housing, feeding and child care programmes.
These must complement and support the initiatives which
arise within the communities themselves. The striking
feature of this epidemic is that wherever the virus
spreads, individuals and communities respond. Leaders
emerge, caring and coping strategies spring up and
programmes are developed.
For the survivors as well
as the infected, a supportive legal, ethical and human
rights environment is essential if they are to be
supported by their communities and if they are to be able
to retain their property, inheritance and custody rights.
This is particularly true for women and for orphaned
children.
The third wave of
impact centres around the loss of so many members of the
workforce and the impact of the epidemic on household and
domestic savings and on foreign exchange earnings (Figure
2). The
epidemic will cause a reduction in the quantity and
quality of labour available to produce output in both the
formal and informal sectors and both measured and
unmeasured activities. Women's labour, both productive
and domestic, is disproportionately unmeasured. The loss
of women's labour will threaten the living standards of
households and communities as well as national
productivity. Patterns of labour supply and demand will
change, the determining factor being the clustering of
the virus occupationally and geographically (Figure
1).
There will also be a
reduction in and changing patterns of use of savings. The
quantity of savings available and how this is employed
influences the rate of growth of Gross National Product
(GNP). Decreasing levels of savings will occur at the
same time as the direct and indirect costs associated
with the epidemic escalate.
Economies most vulnerable
will be those that depend on a single or a limited number
of sectors, agriculture alone or mining and agriculture,
for example. The sectors most vulnerable will be those
which require a critical number of trained personnel for
whom replacements are difficult to find, pilots and
mining engineers among many others, or occupations with
high infection rates, transport sector workers,
construction workers, senior public servants, students,
for example.
The transport sector knits
together producers and markets, raw materials and
finished products, matches migrant labour supply to
labour demand, links urban and rural economies, holds
families together, enables centralised military and
police control. A slow down in this sector will have
extensive economic, social and political repercussions.
In the agricultural
sector, farming systems which are labour intensive
throughout the agricultural cycle or where labour demand
peaks at certain times, as well as those with which is
associated a strict gender division of labour, are most
vulnerable to shortages in the labour supply. In
subsistence farming systems, crop mixes are already
changing, swinging away from cash crops and certain food
crops to less demanding crops such as manioc. Farming
systems based on the availability of wage labour, for
example, plantation crops, are also vulnerable.
Significant changes in patterns of production will
adversely affect household nutrition and income levels as
well as urban food supplies and foreign exchange
earnings.
With growing numbers of
women falling ill and dying, and with women being
increasingly occupied with the care of the ill, women
will have less time for caring for and socialising with
their own children and for productive work in the fields,
in self-employment or in the paid workforce.
This work is often
unrecognised and undervalued. Too much of it does not
appear in systems of national accounts nor is much of it
included in economic measures such as GNP. It will be
difficult to monitor the impact at the macro level of the
loosening of these social and economic networks or
parenting, providing, coping and caring. However, their
absence will be widely felt. This work of women is
essential for the economic and social well-being of
families, communities and societies.
Increasing morbidity will
eventually affect all sectors of the economy: financial
institutions, education and health sectors, water and
electricity supplies, industry and governance (Figure
2).
The fourth wave of
impact is directly linked to the failure of previous
interventions. If the spread of the virus is not slowed
down as early as possible in the epidemic, and if those
affected by it are not adequately supported, then the
very survival of communities and nations will be in
jeopardy. The survival tactics of the bands of destitute
children could lead to the terrorization of populations.
Strategic vulnerability will increase with the morbidity
rates in the military. Basic services, water,
electricity, road maintenance, financial services, will
be impaired. Price increases and service decreases will
lead to discontent and unrest. National governance could
come to a halt. Households, communities and countries
will disintegrate.
At this stage, even
international interventions to prevent the total
disintegration of the nation state may be too late. Such
interventions will need to occur much earlier and in an
intensive and systemative way.
These longer-term
consequences are not inevitable. The extent and
seriousness of the consequences will depend directly on
the timeliness and effectiveness of behaviour and
attitudinal change programmes and of policies adopted to
respond to the needs of the infected, the ill and the
survivors.
The phases
identified in Figure 1 are not discrete; they overlap.
However, there is often a time lag before the problems
associated with each stage become visible and the phase
recognised. The severity of subsequent phases will depend
upon the efficiency of earlier interventions. If this is
not understood, competing demands on limited national
resources could mean that programs for earlier phases,
behaviour change programmes in particular, are not
allocated sufficient resources. Furthermore, in each
phase there are policy options which are best decided in
advance, so that people can be educated to understand and
accept them and planning for them commenced.
The proportional costs of
delaying the start of an effective HIV programme are
shown in Figure 3 (not available on the internet). This
displays, on the right hand side, the proportional costs
at year thirty of the epidemic in a particular country.
The difference in levels of cost depends on the stage
that the epidemic has reached before an effective
programme is implemented. The cost of starting an
effective programme rises with the stage of the epidemic.
This is because there will be more sectors and programme
components and a greater demand for services. The
different levels of cost at thirty years probably differ
from each other by factors of ten or more. Thus there is
a disproportionate advantage in starting effective HIV
programmes early.
Each phase has its own set
of policy and programme requirements and these are
cumulative rather than sequential. That is, as different
phases of the epidemic emerge, a new set of policies and
programmes will have to be developed while those for
previous phases will need to be continued. Thus the
demand on human and financial resources will expand
rather than change over time.
Furthermore, as can be
seen from Figure 2, responsibility for most of these policies
and programmes will lie with sectors and ministries other
than health. An early understanding of this can create a
broader consensus on the need for timely expenditure on
effective prevention programmes. The epidemic then ceases
being the responsibility solely of Departments or
Ministries of Health and begins to be a multisectoral
concern. The earlier this happens, the greater the
possibility of minimising the severity of subsequent
phases. The most powerful intervention to minimise the
impact of the epidemic is an effective programme to
reduce the further spread of the virus.
Thus, an effective
strategic response to the epidemic would be a phased
response consisting initially in support to communities
responding to the epidemic and the establishment of an
appropriate ethical, legal and human rights framework.
Next, the underlying socio-economic causes which
determine the pattern and speed of spread need to be
identified and programmes to address them established.
As communities mobilize
and respond, the demand for technology and services, for
voluntary testing sites, condoms, health services,
sterile needles, etc., will increase and, at this stage,
these should be accessible and affordable. Finally, the
socio-economic consequences of the spread of the virus
will need to be identified, monitored and minimised.
The spread of the virus
initiates an inevitable chain of consequences which will
continue for decades, for generations. The nature of
these repercussions is so devastating that despair and
fatalism would seem to be the only rational responses.
However, this bleakness is held at bay by the
extraordinary response that the epidemic evokes. Wherever
the virus spreads, individuals and communities respond.
THE CHALLENGES OF THE HIV
EPIDEMIC
There are a number of
challenges for communities and governments (Figure
2), choices
which will either minimise or aggravate later waves of
impact. The first challenge will be the type of
behaviour change and prevention policies adopted and the
extent of resources directed to the epidemic in its early
stages.
Choices made will affect
the number of people infected and hence the numbers who
die and the numbers of survivors. They will determine the
extent of the impact. For as long as the virus continues
to spread in the community, high priority will need to be
given to behaviour change and attitudinal change
programmes. In the economic situation of most countries,
initiating new programmes requires commitment, courage
and effective arguments. Cabinet members will need to be
convinced of the need for adequate financing and be
active participants in policy development and planning
processes.
However, even if all
future cases of HIV infection could be prevented from
today, every year for the next twenty years approximately
five per cent of those already infected will develop AIDS
and die. Thus, if in a city or country half a million
people are already infected, around 25,000 people will
die each year for the next two decades. In countries with
an already high rate of infection, the impact would be
long felt.
The second challenge
will be the extent to which the community response is
integrated into and is complemented by the governmental
response. Affected communities have already begun
initiatives that respond to their own needs, build on
their resources and use their networks and forms of
social organization. They must be given the political and
social space and resources to continue. Other players in
the community response include community leaders, health
professionals, traditional non-governmental
organizations, employers, trade unions, religious and
political bodies, youth groups, women's organizations and
many more.
The most effective
national strategies will be based on and give coherence
to the diversity of responses arising within the
community and will, in balancing, supporting and shaping
these initiatives, command widespread support.
Another challenge will
be whether and the extent to which governments assist the
affected, that is, those infected, their families and
carers and those that survive them, to remain an integral
part of their communities. For this to occur, there
need to be guarantees of confidentiality, protection
against discrimination and repudiation, assistance to the
infected to live positively and productively, respite and
child care, access to health and education services,
income and housing maintenance, assistance to families to
stay together as long as a parent is still alive and
programmes to keep survivors within the community.
Without such policies,
increasing numbers of children and the elderly will be
without the care and support of their families or
communities. The consequent lack of socialization of
these children and their isolation could lead, as numbers
increase, to a dissolution of social relations and the
possibility of civil unrest and lawlessness. Thus the
seriousness of the long-term impact is dependent upon
responses to the previous challenge.
If the choice is made to
assist the infected and their survivors to remain living
and cared for within their communities, it will be
essential for governments to create a climate of
acceptance and support for this policy. People's fears
and misconceptions will need to be addressed in education
programmes and every means found to lessen rejection,
blame and stigma and to oppose discrimination.
A further challenge is
whether and at what stage governments, the private sector
and others should begin to plan to minimise the adverse
social and economic impacts.
The epidemic has come to
be in a world already shaped by a multitude of factors
and these in their turn influence and determine its
dimensions. Poor nations burdened with debt are unable to
honour the basic rights of women and men to health care,
education, shelter and employment. This has created a
backlog of deprivation which both facilitates the spread
of the virus and aggravates its consequences. The poverty
of individuals, and of women and children in particular,
has led to their increasing vulnerability to infection.
Poverty caused by HIV-related illness and death deepens
existing poverty, creates new poverty and increases
indebtedness. This interrelatedness between the epidemic
and the setting within which it is occurring will make
government attempts to plan to minimise the adverse
impact of the epidemic more difficult.
The challenges identified
so far all occur at the level of households, communities
and nations.
There is a further
critical challenge which will occur at the global level:
whether the world community will provide the direct
foreign investment in human capital and technological
development and in social safety nets to allow poor
nations and nations rendered poor by this epidemic to
survive.
The free working of the
global market tends to increase the disparities between
rich and poor nations. National governments try to offset
such tendencies, nationally, by redistributing income
through systems of progressive income tax. They also
supplement this with social safety nets to prevent people
from falling into absolute destitution.
No such systems operate at
present at the global level. The closest the world comes
to a global safety net is the current system of
development assistance. But this system is fatally
flawed, not only in the inadequacy of its extent but
because its allocation at present is unrelated to the
level of poverty.
Some examples. South Asia
receives $5 per person while aid-receiving countries in
the Middle East, with more than three times South Asia's
per capita income, receive $55 per person. India has 34
per cent of the world's absolute poor, yet receive only
3.5 per cent of total aid flows. Indeed, the 10 countries
that together have more than 70 per cent of the world's
poorest people receive only 25 per cent of global aid.
If overseas aid is to be
able to serve as a social safety net for the world's
poor, it will have to be based on principles requiring
that aid should be directed to priority concerns for
human development.
The final challenge
rests with us. Ultimately, our hope lies in understanding
the centrality of the will to live, to stay together, to
cope and survive at all levels - individuals, families,
communities, nations and internationally.
If we keep quiet, if we
think that this is not our problem, HIV will change the
world despite us. We can make a difference. We can
overcome the epidemic by speaking out, by using our
influence within our families and communities. By
changing our lives and our behaviour, we can create a
world in which we can peacefully coexist with the virus.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
An early draft of this
paper was presented at the Cluster Meetings of African
Ministries of Finance and Planning organized by the UNDP
Regional Bureau for Africa in Lusaka, Nairobi, Abidjan
and Libreville in July 1991.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
Elizabeth Reid is a Senior
Adviser, Bureau for Policy and Programme Support, United
Nations Development Programme (UNDP), New York. Before
joining UNDP, she worked closely with community groups
working within the HIV epidemic in Australia and was
responsible for the formulation of Australia's first
National HIV/AIDS Strategy. She has extensive experience
in development theory and practice, including programme
design and evaluation in Africa, Asia, the Pacific, the
Middle East, and Latin America and the Caribbean.
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